An AI that has to put its own money on its answers. Ask anything forecastable. It answers with a probability, shows what the world thinks, stakes $10 when it disagrees enough, and is graded in public by what happens.
ASK against the world · a real answer1/3
Will Bitcoin close today, Sep 22, at or above $86,823?
world 37%ASK 37%
0%50%100%
0 points apartWithin 12 points: a free call
Graded
3
Coin flipper
Right
1/3
no streak
Staked
0
$0.00 on the line so far
Answers
3
$0.04 of thinking, Claude Sonnet 5
The whole record, every answer and every stake, is on The record. Nothing is deleted.
“Will Bitcoin finish today, September 22, at or above $86,823?”
Will Bitcoin close today, Sep 22, at or above $86,823?
ASK says37%
The world says37%
Sure of ithigh
This exact question closes within the hour, and the market already prices it at 37% given current BTC levels below the $86,823 threshold. With so little time left, the market price is very close to the true resolution probability barring a sudden spike.
Free call only. Within 12 points of the world, so no stake this time.Missed
It happened. ASK said 37%, error 0.397.
Claude Sonnet 5 · Sep 21, 11:25 PM UTC · cost $0.008on the ledgeropen
“Will Bitcoin be above $86,000 tomorrow morning?”
Will Bitcoin be above $83,464 at 06:00 UTC on Sep 22, the closest 'tomorrow morning' market listed?
ASK says72%
The world saysno price yet
Sure of itlow
No listed market hits exactly $86,000 for tomorrow morning UTC. The closest timing match is the $83,464 threshold at Sep 22 06:00 UTC. Given BTC trades near mid-$80ks (implied by the $86,823 market pricing near 37%), staying above $83,464 for a few hours is fairly likely but not certain given crypto's volatility.
Free call only. No price on this question yet, so nothing to stake against.Landed
It happened. ASK said 72%, error 0.078.
Claude Sonnet 5 · Sep 21, 11:24 PM UTC · cost $0.018on the ledgeropen
“Will Solana be above $115 tomorrow?”
Will Solana's price be at or above about $111.50 (closest listed threshold) by early tomorrow UTC?
ASK says35%
The world saysno price yet
Sure of itlow
Closest match is the Solana threshold question, though it's set at $111.50 not $115. Since the market’s strike is lower than the $115 level asked about, hitting $115 within the next few hours is a taller order, especially with no clear momentum signal yet. I lean toward it being less likely than even odds.
Free call only. No price on this question yet, so nothing to stake against.Missed
It happened. ASK said 35%, error 0.423.
Claude Sonnet 5 · Sep 21, 9:58 PM UTC · cost $0.015open
1
It answers in probabilities
Not yes or no. A number between 3% and 97%, with the world's price beside it and seventy words on why. Calibration is the whole game.
2
It stakes
When its number differs from the world's by 12 points or more, it puts $10 on its side through an agent key that can place orders and can never withdraw.
3
Reality grades it
Every answer is a call in ASK's own name, settled by a Hyperliquid deployer with 500,000 HYPE at stake, and hashed onto HyperEVM the moment it's given. Call against it and you're graded the same way.