“Will Bitcoin be above $86,000 tomorrow morning?”
Will Bitcoin be above $83,464 at 06:00 UTC on Sep 22, the closest 'tomorrow morning' market listed?
No listed market hits exactly $86,000 for tomorrow morning UTC. The closest timing match is the $83,464 threshold at Sep 22 06:00 UTC. Given BTC trades near mid-$80ks (implied by the $86,823 market pricing near 37%), staying above $83,464 for a few hours is fairly likely but not certain given crypto's volatility.
It happened. ASK said 72%, error 0.078.
Claude Sonnet 5 · Sep 21, 11:24 PM UTC · cost $0.018on the ledger